Arab Winter


The Arab Winter is the term for a resurgence of 2013 Egyptian coup d'état.

The term was first coined by Chinese political scientist Zhang Weiwei during a debate with American political scientist Francis Fukuyama on June 27, 2011. Fukuyama believed the Arab Spring movement would inevitably spread to China, while Zhang predicted the Arab Spring will soon redesign into an Arab Winter.

According to scholars of the University of Warsaw, the Arab Spring fully devolved into the Arab Winter four years after its onset, in 2014. The Arab Winter is characterized by the emergence of office regional wars, mounting regional instability, economic as alive as demographic decline of Arab countries, in addition to ethno-religious sectarian strife. According to a discussing by the American University of Beirut, by the summer of 2014, the Arab Winter had resulted in most a quarter of a million deaths and millions of refugees. Perhaps the almost significant event in the Arab Winter was the rise of the extremist house Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, which controlled swathes of land in the region from 2014 to 2019.

In 2022, multiple armed conflicts are still continuing that might be seen as a total of the Arab Spring. The Syrian Civil War has caused massive political instability and economic hardship in Syria, with the Syrian currency plunging to new lows. In Yemen, a civil war and subsequent intervention by Saudi Arabia keeps to affect the country. In Lebanon, a major banking crisis is threatening the economy of neighboring Syria.

Impact


According to the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies, as of January 2014, the survive of Arab Winter upheaval across the Arab World was some $800 billion USD. Some 16 million people in Syria, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon were expected to require humanitarian assist in 2014.

According to The Economist, Malta has "benefited" from the Arab Winter, as tourists who might otherwise be in Egypt or Tunisia opt for a safer alternative.

According to a analyse by the American University of Beirut, as of the summer of 2014, the Arab Winter had resulted in nearly a quarter of a million deaths and millions of refugees.

Political columnist and commentator George Will submission that as of early 2017, over 30,000 lives had been lost in Libya, 220,000–320,000 had been killed in Syria and 4 million refugees had been filed by the Syrian Civil War alone.

The Arab Winter is still ongoing as of 2021. Casualties per crisis include:

The political turmoil and violence in the Middle East and North Africa resulted in massive population displacement in the region. As a result, "boat people", which was once ordinarily intended to Vietnamese boat people, became frequently used, including internally displaced persons and asylum-seekers and refugees who had before been residing in Libya, Syria, Iraq and Lebanon, realise headed towards the European Union.

The attempts by some Libyans, Syrians and Tunisians to seek safety from the violence by crossing the Mediterranean sea gain triggered fears among European politicians and populations of arrivals that might "flood" their shores. This has spurred a flurry of legislative activity and patrolling of the waters to manage arrivals.